Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000586 0.000674 0.000768 0.000875 0.000993 0.001120 0.001265
2025-04-20 0.000463 0.000587 0.000728 0.000900 0.001103 0.001332 0.001609
2025-04-27 0.000393 0.000533 0.000700 0.000913 0.001173 0.001478 0.001859
2025-05-04 0.000330 0.000477 0.000660 0.000902 0.001209 0.001579 0.002055
2025-05-11 0.000279 0.000427 0.000620 0.000884 0.001229 0.001657 0.002219
2025-05-18 0.000248 0.000400 0.000606 0.000896 0.001285 0.001777 0.002437
2025-05-25 0.000220 0.000373 0.000588 0.000899 0.001326 0.001879 0.002632
2025-06-01 0.000187 0.000334 0.000549 0.000870 0.001322 0.001919 0.002747
2025-06-08 0.000159 0.000300 0.000514 0.000843 0.001317 0.001955 0.002856
2025-06-15 0.000141 0.000281 0.000498 0.000841 0.001345 0.002035 0.003024
2025-06-22 0.000126 0.000263 0.000483 0.000839 0.001373 0.002116 0.003192
2025-06-29 0.000111 0.000243 0.000464 0.000829 0.001387 0.002175 0.003333
2025-07-06 0.000096 0.000223 0.000441 0.000812 0.001392 0.002223 0.003460
2025-07-13 0.000089 0.000217 0.000442 0.000832 0.001451 0.002350 0.003701
2025-07-20 0.000082 0.000208 0.000438 0.000845 0.001499 0.002462 0.003922
2025-07-27 0.000072 0.000194 0.000421 0.000835 0.001512 0.002520 0.004068
2025-08-03 0.000063 0.000178 0.000402 0.000817 0.001511 0.002560 0.004187
2025-08-10 0.000058 0.000171 0.000399 0.000829 0.001557 0.002668 0.004408
2025-08-17 0.000052 0.000163 0.000391 0.000831 0.001588 0.002755 0.004598
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000147 0.000368 0.000804 0.001569 0.002764 0.004673
2025-08-31 0.000037 0.000133 0.000346 0.000779 0.001550 0.002774 0.004748
2025-09-07 0.000033 0.000126 0.000338 0.000777 0.001571 0.002844 0.004914
2025-09-14 0.000030 0.000119 0.000330 0.000775 0.001593 0.002916 0.005085